ADP Values / Trends

Posted by: Sean Douglas Posted date: June 27, 2011 In: ADP Values, Fantasy Football, Podcasts | comment : 0

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It’s time to get ready for another fantasy football season, and we have a sampling of the top 200 plus players rated for consideration at your fantasy drafts. The first 179 players on the list are taken from Mock Draft Central’s listing for standard redraft league results. At MDC, you can partake in valuable mock drafts to help you prepare for the upcoming season, and we recommend them as a quality source for draft preparation.

With that said, you can only put so much value into ADP trends and mock drafts because these tools for preparation won’t always give you accuracy as to how the results will go at your live draft.

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For example receiver Jordy Nelson should get some play on the internet this summer as a sleeper because he is projected to win a starting job in Green Bay with James Jones likely gone in free agency and Donald Driver on his last legs. In the 179 players listed (early summer trends) Nelson doesn’t even make the cut and he’s clearly more valuable than that.

No, ADP values are more useful for the first 100 or so players because after that most people tend to drop off activity in mock drafts and let the auto rankings finish the selections for their team. Still, it is interesting to see where players are going as ADP trends can help you get a range of where the players you care about are going.

Below I have a listing of overvalued and undervalued players at quarterback, running back and wide receiver as we head into the summer. I’ve gone ahead and written a specific breakdown for each position and for further explanation on our over and undervalued players, I have write-ups on those pages. Throughout the summer, we will have more ADP trends from other sites around the web to give you a variety of looks at the 2011 fantasy values to help you get ready for your draft.

Overvalued

QB’s

Ben Roethlisberger (7th), Josh Freeman (10th), Jay Cutler (11th), Donovan McNabb (16th), David Garrard (18th),

RB’s

Maurice Jones-Drew (6th), Knowshon Moreno (18th), Felix Jones (20th), BenJarvus Green-Ellis (21st), Thomas Jones (30th), Ryan Torain (52nd),

WR’s

Miles Austin (7th), Mike Williams – Tampa (10th), Marques Colston (12th), Jeremy Maclin (13th), Brandon Lloyd (15th), Sidney Rice (19th), Kenny Britt (22nd), Steve Smith – NY (31st), Malcom Floyd (30th), Jerome Simpson (34th), Legedu Naanee (47th),

Undervalued

QB’s

Philip Rivers (6th), Matt Ryan (14th), Eli Manning (13th),

RB’s

Delone Carter (Un-ranked), Roy Helu (Un-ranked), Mark Ingram (29th), Jahvid Best (28th), Daniel Thomas (35th), DeAngelo Williams (22nd),

WR’s

Dwayne Bowe (8th), Mike Wallace (11th), Vincent Jackson (17th), Wes Welker (24th), Mario Manningham (37th), Julio Jones (56th), Braylon Edwards (48th), Jordy Nelson (un-rated),

2011 ADP Values / Trends

	Player	Pos	ADP	Earliest	Latest
1	Arian Foster	RB	1.00	1	1
2	Adrian Peterson	RB	2.00	2	2
3	Chris Johnson	RB	3.05	3	4
4	Jamaal Charles	RB	4.05	4	5
5	Rashard Mendenhall	RB	5.15	5	6
6	Maurice Jones-Drew	RB	6.25	6	7
7	Michael Vick	QB	7.30	7	8
8	Michael Turner	RB	8.20	8	9
9	LeSean McCoy	RB	9.25	9	10
10	Aaron Rodgers	QB	10.70	10	12
11	Ray Rice	RB	11.55	9	13
12	Darren McFadden	RB	11.55	11	13
13	Roddy White	WR	13.25	13	14
14	Peyton Hillis	RB	14.30	14	15
15	Frank Gore	RB	15.40	15	16
16	Andre Johnson	WR	15.70	12	17
17	Calvin Johnson	WR	17.10	17	18
18	LeGarrette Blount	RB	18.30	18	19
19	Hakeem Nicks	WR	19.30	19	20
20	Matt Forte	RB	20.55	20	22
21	Greg Jennings	WR	21.30	21	23
22	Drew Brees	QB	22.60	22	24
23	Reggie Wayne	WR	23.50	23	24
24	Ahmad Bradshaw	RB	24.60	24	26
25	Miles Austin	WR	25.65	25	27
26	Peyton Manning	QB	26.70	26	28
27	Steven Jackson	RB	27.05	21	29
28	Dwayne Bowe	WR	27.65	27	29
29	Ryan Mathews	RB	29.40	29	31
30	Larry Fitzgerald	WR	30.15	29	32
31	Mike Williams (TB)	WR	31.45	31	33
32	Knowshon Moreno	RB	32.50	32	34
33	Jonathan Stewart	RB	33.50	33	35
34	Mike Wallace	WR	34.45	34	36
35	Marques Colston	WR	35.65	35	37
36	Jeremy Maclin	WR	36.90	36	38
37	Steve Johnson	WR	37.90	37	39
38	Tom Brady	QB	38.20	34	40
39	Brandon Lloyd	WR	39.90	39	41
40	DeSean Jackson	WR	40.05	36	42
41	Philip Rivers	QB	41.55	41	43
42	Vincent Jackson	WR	42.30	42	43
43	Brandon Marshall	WR	43.30	43	44
44	Felix Jones	RB	44.40	44	46
45	BenJarvus Green-Ellis	RB	45.50	45	47
46	DeAngelo Williams	RB	46.60	46	48
47	Jason Witten	TE	47.65	47	49
48	Sidney Rice	WR	48.50	48	50
49	Fred Jackson	RB	49.90	49	52
50	Dez Bryant	WR	50.95	50	52
51	Santonio Holmes	WR	52.20	52	54
52	Ryan Torain	RB	53.20	52	54
53	Ryan Grant	RB	53.45	49	55
54	Vernon Davis	TE	55.10	54	56
55	Antonio Gates	TE	55.95	40	59
56	Kenny Britt	WR	56.35	55	57
57	Percy Harvin	WR	57.95	57	60
58	Wes Welker	WR	58.45	55	61
59	Dallas Clark	TE	60.00	59	62
60	Cedric Benson	RB	61.10	60	64
61	Shonn Greene	RB	62.25	51	65
62	Austin Collie	WR	62.35	61	65
63	Anquan Boldin	WR	63.30	62	66
64	Marshawn Lynch	RB	64.90	64	66
65	Jahvid Best	RB	65.20	52	68
66	Michael Crabtree	WR	66.10	65	67
67	Mike Williams (Sea)	WR	67.90	67	69
68	Mark Ingram	RB	68.50	66	70
69	Pierre Garcon	WR	69.55	69	71
70	Malcom Floyd	WR	71.20	70	73
71	Ben Roethlisberger	QB	72.00	71	73
72	Jermichael Finley	TE	72.20	64	74
73	Steve Smith (NY)	WR	73.85	73	75
74	Santana Moss	WR	74.95	74	76
75	Thomas Jones	RB	76.25	75	77
76	Tony Romo	QB	77.10	76	78
77	Joseph Addai	RB	78.20	77	79
78	Pierre Thomas	RB	79.25	78	80
79	Brandon Jacobs	RB	80.30	79	82
80	Beanie Wells	RB	81.60	80	83
81	Deion Branch	WR	82.65	81	84
82	Michael Bush	RB	83.95	83	86
83	Jerome Simpson	WR	85.05	84	87
84	Steve Smith (Car)	WR	85.80	84	88
85	Matt Schaub	QB	86.10	80	90
86	Daniel Thomas	RB	86.50	82	89
87	Chad Ochocinco	WR	88.45	87	91
88	Ronnie Brown	RB	89.55	88	92
89	Jacoby Ford	WR	90.90	90	93
90	Robert Meachem	WR	91.90	91	94
91	LaDainian Tomlinson	RB	92.95	92	95
92	Hines Ward	WR	93.95	92	96
93	Mike Tolbert	RB	94.05	89	96
94	Donald Brown	RB	95.80	94	98
95	Mario Manningham	WR	96.55	94	99
96	A.J. Green	WR	97.65	96	100
97	Tony Gonzalez	TE	98.95	92	101
98	Rashad Jennings	RB	99.05	97	101
99	Randy Moss	WR	100.85	99	103
100	Bernard Scott	RB	102.20	101	104
101	Josh Freeman	QB	102.80	101	104
102	Johnny Knox	WR	103.95	102	105
103	Matthew Stafford	QB	104.90	103	106
104	Mike Sims-Walker	WR	106.15	105	108
105	Jay Cutler	QB	107.35	105	110
106	Eli Manning	QB	108.30	106	110
107	Brandon Pettigrew	TE	109.45	107	112
108	Matt Ryan	QB	109.80	90	114
109	Nate Burleson	WR	110.55	108	113
110	Joe Flacco	QB	111.25	106	113
111	James Starks	RB	113.20	111	115
112	Anthony Dixon	RB	114.60	113	116
113	Davone Bess	WR	115.45	113	117
114	Toby Gerhart	RB	116.85	115	118
115	C.J. Spiller	RB	117.30	103	121
116	Tashard Choice	RB	118.10	116	119
117	Dustin Keller	TE	118.45	117	120
118	Danny Amendola	WR	120.90	119	125
119	Marcedes Lewis	TE	121.55	119	123
120	Steelers Defense	D	122.45	100	135
121	Packers Defense	D	123.30	103	129
122	DeMarco Murray	RB	123.55	121	128
123	Zach Miller	TE	123.80	122	126
124	Reggie Bush	RB	126.25	123	129
125	Legedu Naanee	WR	128.05	124	140
126	Owen Daniels	TE	128.20	118	135
127	Jets Defense	D	132.65	128	139
128	Sam Bradford	QB	132.75	124	-ND-
129	Giants Defense	D	137.00	132	147
130	Eagles Defense	D	137.55	132	149
131	Ravens Defense	D	140.55	134	155
132	Patriots Defense	D	143.30	135	158
133	Nate Kaeding	K	143.95	136	163
134	Chris Cooley	TE	144.45	127	-ND-
135	Sebastian Janikowski	K	144.55	136	160
136	Saints Defense	D	146.05	138	161
137	Vikings Defense	D	148.80	139	164
138	Stephen Gostkowski	K	149.40	141	165
139	David Akers	K	152.15	142	169
140	Chargers Defense	D	152.80	143	168
141	Rob Bironas	K	153.05	144	170
142	Nick Folk	K	154.90	145	172
143	Braylon Edwards	WR	155.80	109	-ND-
144	Dan Carpenter	K	156.10	147	173
145	Mason Crosby	K	156.80	147	175
146	Mike Goodson	RB	157.60	126	-ND-
147	Lawrence Tynes	K	158.20	149	176
148	Adam Vinatieri	K	162.35	149	-ND-
149	Matt Cassel	QB	164.20	136	-ND-
150	Kellen Winslow	TE	172.00	133	-ND-
151	Aaron Hernandez	TE	184.00	135	-ND-
152	Mikel Leshoure	RB	185.05	125	-ND-
153	Danny Woodhead	RB	185.70	127	-ND-
154	Arrelious Benn	WR	187.05	143	-ND-
155	Brandon Jackson	RB	188.65	137	-ND-
156	Terrell Owens	WR	188.70	146	-ND-
157	Tim Hightower	RB	189.85	141	-ND-
158	Donovan McNabb	QB	190.10	141	-ND-
159	Rick Williams	RB	190.10	129	-ND-
160	Derrick Mason	WR	191.25	133	-ND-
161	Chris Ivory	RB	191.40	134	-ND-
162	Jabar Gaffney	WR	191.70	146	-ND-
163	James Jones	WR	192.70	151	-ND-
164	Marion Barber	RB	192.95	141	-ND-
165	Ben Obomanu	WR	193.20	141	-ND-
166	Mike Thomas	WR	193.50	154	-ND-
167	Cardinals Defense	D	193.75	166	-ND-
168	Ryan Fitzpatrick	QB	194.15	145	-ND-
169	Julio Jones	WR	194.50	127	-ND-
170	David Garrard	QB	195.15	149	-ND-
171	Maurice Morris	RB	196.00	153	-ND-
172	Brent Celek	TE	198.55	162	-ND-
173	Dolphins Defense	D	199.35	173	-ND-
174	Rob Gronkowski	TE	201.80	164	-ND-
175	David Buehler	K	202.15	178	-ND-
176	Visanthe Shiancoe	TE	203.55	166	-ND-
177	Neil Rackers	K	203.80	178	-ND-
178	Danario Alexander	WR	203.85	161	-ND-
179	Falcons Defense	D	205.35	179	-ND-

	Honorable Mention
	Delone Carter	RB	-	-	-
	Ryan Williams	RB
	Roy Helu	RB
	Jason Snelling	RB
	Shane Vereen	RB
	Justin Forsett	RB
	Jordy Nelson	WR
	Titus Young	WR
	Torrey Smith	WR
	Leonard Hankerson	WR
	Anthony Armstrong	WR
	Jonathan Baldwin	WR
	Donald Driver	WR
	Kevin Kolb	QB
	Mark Sanchez	QB
	Kyle Orton	QB
	Kevin Boss	TE
	Jimmy Graham	TE
	Tony Moeaki	TE
	Alex Henery	K
	Josh Brown	K
	Jay Feely	K
	Ryan Succop	K
	Garrett Hartley	K
	Bears Defense	D
	Rams Defense	D
	Chiefs Defense	D
	Lions Defense	D
	Buccaneers Defense	D