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ADP Values / Trends

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It’s time to get ready for another fantasy football season, and we have a sampling of the top 200 plus players rated for consideration at your fantasy drafts. The first 179 players on the list are taken from Mock Draft Central’s listing for standard redraft league results. At MDC, you can partake in valuable mock drafts to help you prepare for the upcoming season, and we recommend them as a quality source for draft preparation.

With that said, you can only put so much value into ADP trends and mock drafts because these tools for preparation won’t always give you accuracy as to how the results will go at your live draft.

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For example receiver Jordy Nelson should get some play on the internet this summer as a sleeper because he is projected to win a starting job in Green Bay with James Jones likely gone in free agency and Donald Driver on his last legs. In the 179 players listed (early summer trends) Nelson doesn’t even make the cut and he’s clearly more valuable than that.

No, ADP values are more useful for the first 100 or so players because after that most people tend to drop off activity in mock drafts and let the auto rankings finish the selections for their team. Still, it is interesting to see where players are going as ADP trends can help you get a range of where the players you care about are going.

Below I have a listing of overvalued and undervalued players at quarterback, running back and wide receiver as we head into the summer. I’ve gone ahead and written a specific breakdown for each position and for further explanation on our over and undervalued players, I have write-ups on those pages. Throughout the summer, we will have more ADP trends from other sites around the web to give you a variety of looks at the 2011 fantasy values to help you get ready for your draft.

Overvalued

QB’s

Ben Roethlisberger (7th), Josh Freeman (10th), Jay Cutler (11th), Donovan McNabb (16th), David Garrard (18th),

RB’s

Maurice Jones-Drew (6th), Knowshon Moreno (18th), Felix Jones (20th), BenJarvus Green-Ellis (21st), Thomas Jones (30th), Ryan Torain (52nd),

WR’s

Miles Austin (7th), Mike Williams – Tampa (10th), Marques Colston (12th), Jeremy Maclin (13th), Brandon Lloyd (15th), Sidney Rice (19th), Kenny Britt (22nd), Steve Smith – NY (31st), Malcom Floyd (30th), Jerome Simpson (34th), Legedu Naanee (47th),

Undervalued

QB’s

Philip Rivers (6th), Matt Ryan (14th), Eli Manning (13th),

RB’s

Delone Carter (Un-ranked), Roy Helu (Un-ranked), Mark Ingram (29th), Jahvid Best (28th), Daniel Thomas (35th), DeAngelo Williams (22nd),

WR’s

Dwayne Bowe (8th), Mike Wallace (11th), Vincent Jackson (17th), Wes Welker (24th), Mario Manningham (37th), Julio Jones (56th), Braylon Edwards (48th), Jordy Nelson (un-rated),

2011 ADP Values / Trends

Player Pos ADP Earliest Latest
1 Arian Foster RB 1.00 1 1
2 Adrian Peterson RB 2.00 2 2
3 Chris Johnson RB 3.05 3 4
4 Jamaal Charles RB 4.05 4 5
5 Rashard Mendenhall RB 5.15 5 6
6 Maurice Jones-Drew RB 6.25 6 7
7 Michael Vick QB 7.30 7 8
8 Michael Turner RB 8.20 8 9
9 LeSean McCoy RB 9.25 9 10
10 Aaron Rodgers QB 10.70 10 12
11 Ray Rice RB 11.55 9 13
12 Darren McFadden RB 11.55 11 13
13 Roddy White WR 13.25 13 14
14 Peyton Hillis RB 14.30 14 15
15 Frank Gore RB 15.40 15 16
16 Andre Johnson WR 15.70 12 17
17 Calvin Johnson WR 17.10 17 18
18 LeGarrette Blount RB 18.30 18 19
19 Hakeem Nicks WR 19.30 19 20
20 Matt Forte RB 20.55 20 22
21 Greg Jennings WR 21.30 21 23
22 Drew Brees QB 22.60 22 24
23 Reggie Wayne WR 23.50 23 24
24 Ahmad Bradshaw RB 24.60 24 26
25 Miles Austin WR 25.65 25 27
26 Peyton Manning QB 26.70 26 28
27 Steven Jackson RB 27.05 21 29
28 Dwayne Bowe WR 27.65 27 29
29 Ryan Mathews RB 29.40 29 31
30 Larry Fitzgerald WR 30.15 29 32
31 Mike Williams (TB) WR 31.45 31 33
32 Knowshon Moreno RB 32.50 32 34
33 Jonathan Stewart RB 33.50 33 35
34 Mike Wallace WR 34.45 34 36
35 Marques Colston WR 35.65 35 37
36 Jeremy Maclin WR 36.90 36 38
37 Steve Johnson WR 37.90 37 39
38 Tom Brady QB 38.20 34 40
39 Brandon Lloyd WR 39.90 39 41
40 DeSean Jackson WR 40.05 36 42
41 Philip Rivers QB 41.55 41 43
42 Vincent Jackson WR 42.30 42 43
43 Brandon Marshall WR 43.30 43 44
44 Felix Jones RB 44.40 44 46
45 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB 45.50 45 47
46 DeAngelo Williams RB 46.60 46 48
47 Jason Witten TE 47.65 47 49
48 Sidney Rice WR 48.50 48 50
49 Fred Jackson RB 49.90 49 52
50 Dez Bryant WR 50.95 50 52
51 Santonio Holmes WR 52.20 52 54
52 Ryan Torain RB 53.20 52 54
53 Ryan Grant RB 53.45 49 55
54 Vernon Davis TE 55.10 54 56
55 Antonio Gates TE 55.95 40 59
56 Kenny Britt WR 56.35 55 57
57 Percy Harvin WR 57.95 57 60
58 Wes Welker WR 58.45 55 61
59 Dallas Clark TE 60.00 59 62
60 Cedric Benson RB 61.10 60 64
61 Shonn Greene RB 62.25 51 65
62 Austin Collie WR 62.35 61 65
63 Anquan Boldin WR 63.30 62 66
64 Marshawn Lynch RB 64.90 64 66
65 Jahvid Best RB 65.20 52 68
66 Michael Crabtree WR 66.10 65 67
67 Mike Williams (Sea) WR 67.90 67 69
68 Mark Ingram RB 68.50 66 70
69 Pierre Garcon WR 69.55 69 71
70 Malcom Floyd WR 71.20 70 73
71 Ben Roethlisberger QB 72.00 71 73
72 Jermichael Finley TE 72.20 64 74
73 Steve Smith (NY) WR 73.85 73 75
74 Santana Moss WR 74.95 74 76
75 Thomas Jones RB 76.25 75 77
76 Tony Romo QB 77.10 76 78
77 Joseph Addai RB 78.20 77 79
78 Pierre Thomas RB 79.25 78 80
79 Brandon Jacobs RB 80.30 79 82
80 Beanie Wells RB 81.60 80 83
81 Deion Branch WR 82.65 81 84
82 Michael Bush RB 83.95 83 86
83 Jerome Simpson WR 85.05 84 87
84 Steve Smith (Car) WR 85.80 84 88
85 Matt Schaub QB 86.10 80 90
86 Daniel Thomas RB 86.50 82 89
87 Chad Ochocinco WR 88.45 87 91
88 Ronnie Brown RB 89.55 88 92
89 Jacoby Ford WR 90.90 90 93
90 Robert Meachem WR 91.90 91 94
91 LaDainian Tomlinson RB 92.95 92 95
92 Hines Ward WR 93.95 92 96
93 Mike Tolbert RB 94.05 89 96
94 Donald Brown RB 95.80 94 98
95 Mario Manningham WR 96.55 94 99
96 A.J. Green WR 97.65 96 100
97 Tony Gonzalez TE 98.95 92 101
98 Rashad Jennings RB 99.05 97 101
99 Randy Moss WR 100.85 99 103
100 Bernard Scott RB 102.20 101 104
101 Josh Freeman QB 102.80 101 104
102 Johnny Knox WR 103.95 102 105
103 Matthew Stafford QB 104.90 103 106
104 Mike Sims-Walker WR 106.15 105 108
105 Jay Cutler QB 107.35 105 110
106 Eli Manning QB 108.30 106 110
107 Brandon Pettigrew TE 109.45 107 112
108 Matt Ryan QB 109.80 90 114
109 Nate Burleson WR 110.55 108 113
110 Joe Flacco QB 111.25 106 113
111 James Starks RB 113.20 111 115
112 Anthony Dixon RB 114.60 113 116
113 Davone Bess WR 115.45 113 117
114 Toby Gerhart RB 116.85 115 118
115 C.J. Spiller RB 117.30 103 121
116 Tashard Choice RB 118.10 116 119
117 Dustin Keller TE 118.45 117 120
118 Danny Amendola WR 120.90 119 125
119 Marcedes Lewis TE 121.55 119 123
120 Steelers Defense D 122.45 100 135
121 Packers Defense D 123.30 103 129
122 DeMarco Murray RB 123.55 121 128
123 Zach Miller TE 123.80 122 126
124 Reggie Bush RB 126.25 123 129
125 Legedu Naanee WR 128.05 124 140
126 Owen Daniels TE 128.20 118 135
127 Jets Defense D 132.65 128 139
128 Sam Bradford QB 132.75 124 -ND-
129 Giants Defense D 137.00 132 147
130 Eagles Defense D 137.55 132 149
131 Ravens Defense D 140.55 134 155
132 Patriots Defense D 143.30 135 158
133 Nate Kaeding K 143.95 136 163
134 Chris Cooley TE 144.45 127 -ND-
135 Sebastian Janikowski K 144.55 136 160
136 Saints Defense D 146.05 138 161
137 Vikings Defense D 148.80 139 164
138 Stephen Gostkowski K 149.40 141 165
139 David Akers K 152.15 142 169
140 Chargers Defense D 152.80 143 168
141 Rob Bironas K 153.05 144 170
142 Nick Folk K 154.90 145 172
143 Braylon Edwards WR 155.80 109 -ND-
144 Dan Carpenter K 156.10 147 173
145 Mason Crosby K 156.80 147 175
146 Mike Goodson RB 157.60 126 -ND-
147 Lawrence Tynes K 158.20 149 176
148 Adam Vinatieri K 162.35 149 -ND-
149 Matt Cassel QB 164.20 136 -ND-
150 Kellen Winslow TE 172.00 133 -ND-
151 Aaron Hernandez TE 184.00 135 -ND-
152 Mikel Leshoure RB 185.05 125 -ND-
153 Danny Woodhead RB 185.70 127 -ND-
154 Arrelious Benn WR 187.05 143 -ND-
155 Brandon Jackson RB 188.65 137 -ND-
156 Terrell Owens WR 188.70 146 -ND-
157 Tim Hightower RB 189.85 141 -ND-
158 Donovan McNabb QB 190.10 141 -ND-
159 Rick Williams RB 190.10 129 -ND-
160 Derrick Mason WR 191.25 133 -ND-
161 Chris Ivory RB 191.40 134 -ND-
162 Jabar Gaffney WR 191.70 146 -ND-
163 James Jones WR 192.70 151 -ND-
164 Marion Barber RB 192.95 141 -ND-
165 Ben Obomanu WR 193.20 141 -ND-
166 Mike Thomas WR 193.50 154 -ND-
167 Cardinals Defense D 193.75 166 -ND-
168 Ryan Fitzpatrick QB 194.15 145 -ND-
169 Julio Jones WR 194.50 127 -ND-
170 David Garrard QB 195.15 149 -ND-
171 Maurice Morris RB 196.00 153 -ND-
172 Brent Celek TE 198.55 162 -ND-
173 Dolphins Defense D 199.35 173 -ND-
174 Rob Gronkowski TE 201.80 164 -ND-
175 David Buehler K 202.15 178 -ND-
176 Visanthe Shiancoe TE 203.55 166 -ND-
177 Neil Rackers K 203.80 178 -ND-
178 Danario Alexander WR 203.85 161 -ND-
179 Falcons Defense D 205.35 179 -ND-
Honorable Mention
Delone Carter RB - - -
Ryan Williams RB
Roy Helu RB
Jason Snelling RB
Shane Vereen RB
Justin Forsett RB
Jordy Nelson WR
Titus Young WR
Torrey Smith WR
Leonard Hankerson WR
Anthony Armstrong WR
Jonathan Baldwin WR
Donald Driver WR
Kevin Kolb QB
Mark Sanchez QB
Kyle Orton QB
Kevin Boss TE
Jimmy Graham TE
Tony Moeaki TE
Alex Henery K
Josh Brown K
Jay Feely K
Ryan Succop K
Garrett Hartley K
Bears Defense D
Rams Defense D
Chiefs Defense D
Lions Defense D
Buccaneers Defense D

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