Mock Draft Results – 3rd Round
Moving into the third round of our ten team mock draft results, we find more receivers going off the board, and a few more stud quarterbacks were selected as well. Below you will find my thoughts on each player selected in the third round of our mock draft results, with their respective ADP value from Mock Draft Central listed.
21.Philip Rivers (ADP 38.63): If Philip Rivers could perform as one of the top fantasy quarterbacks with no one around him, I’m willing to believe he can repeat his success with Vincent Jackson back for a full season. The Chargers also re-signed Malcom Floyd and while I can’t stand the thought of having Floyd on my fantasy team, he will help Rivers maintain his success.
22. LeGarrette Blount (ADP 19.10): Bad Duck, turned good Buc, this was the story of LeGarrette Blount from the summer of 2009 to his unexpected breakout season with Tampa Bay. Heck, Blount wasn’t even drafted (character concerns) and was with the Tennessee Titans at this point last year.
While the Titans tried to get cute by trying to sneak Blount through onto the teams’ practice squad, the Buccaneers were desperate for a running back and snagged him off the waiver wire. Blount rewarded Tampa Bay with the hard-nosed running that made him the favorite to start over LaMichael James in Oregon at one point.
Look for Blount to continue his hard running ways as the Buccaneers continue to develop into a playoff caliber team. I’m not sure Tampa will have the success they posted on offense last year, but Blount should post better numbers on the ground with a full season as a starter.
23. Drew Brees (ADP 22.32): Don’t worry about Marques Colston having problems in came with his never-ending knee problems. Colston should be around during the season to help out but Drew Brees still has some talents like Robert Meachem, Lance Moore, Pierre Thomas out of the back field, and a couple talented pass catching tight ends.
This team is ready to roll for a run deep into the playoffs, and Brees will lead the charge as he always does. Expect 4,500 yards passing and 30 plus touchdowns. Point is, great value as a third-round pick even in a ten team league.
24. Larry Fitzgerald (ADP 26.72): While Larry Fitzgerald is one of the best receivers in football, I’ve always had a problem taking him as an elite option at receiver, for standard scoring leagues. This guy just doesn’t have the speed to be a burner down the field, and I wish he had a little more big-play ability.
That said, while I’m not a big Kevin Kolb guy, no one can argue that he is a big upgrade over Derek Anderson and the funky bunch from 2010. Fitzgerald should be a top ten producer and will give you consistent ant production.
25. Hakeem Nicks (ADP 19.83): Here’s one of my favorite young receivers in the game and a clear top five option in all scoring formats. Outside of Calvin Johnson, Andre Johnson and Roddy White, I would take Hakeem Nicks in a heart beat as he should be viewed as one of the top two or three receivers to hold in dynasty leagues.
Nicks has just about everything you could want outside of the down the field play making ability of Calvin or Randy Moss in the old days. What Nicks does have over those receivers is a better route running abilities, hands, and in Moss’s case, a much better attitude as he doesn’t seem to have a massive ego.
26. Steven Jackson (ADP 26.59): While many have viewed Steven Jackson as a first-round pick over the years, I’ve been on the other side of the fence, as I hated his situation. Now, it seems just as his situation is turning good, many fantasy owners are turning their backs on him as common view is that his skills have declined.
That’s true, but I would argue that happened a couple of years ago as his poor offensive line has led him to endure extra pound from opposing defenders. Coming into this year I actually love Jackson value as a third-round pick and especially in PPR leagues, where OC Josh McDaniels should use him more often than in recent years.
27. Ryan Mathews (ADP 30.42): Count me out as a believe in Ryan Matthews as a No.2 fantasy back this season. I’ve been down on Mathews all off-season because I don’t feel he’s worth a third to fifth-round selection, as Mike Tolbert is bound to be active in the offense. With Coach Norv Turner’s recent comments that Tolbert and Mathews will split the work (oh yeah, Mathews is already hurt again) it’s likely that Tolbert could have a better year, if Mathews continues to find the trainers’ table.
28. Greg Jennings (ADP 21.61): While I still have PTSD from Greg Jennings, four touchdown out put from 2009, I can’t help but feel that he is a worthy top five receiver in standard scoring leagues. Jennings touchdown total bounced back to its previous numbers in 2010, as Aaron Rodgers re-established his timing with Jennings on down the field passes.
This was a major problem between these two in 2009, as they routinely missed on open opportunities. Many don’t remember but before Rodgers kicked the football, and it was picked up by Karlos Dansby for that touchdown in the playoffs, Rodgers missed Jennings down the field, and he was wide open. Who knows, if he connects on that pass maybe we would be talking about the chances of a three peat in Green Bay and not questioning if they can repeat.
Point is, Rodgers is a great quarterback and Jennings is clearly his number one option in the passing game and especially down the field.
29. Reggie Wayne (ADP 23.98): While Reggie Wayne is still a worthy top ten selection at receiver, I have my concerns about his success, if Peyton Manning should have problems with his neck as we head into the season. Manning will gut it out and play week after a week, but if his neck should become an issue, the Colts may limit the offense to only calling passing routes, he’s comfortable in throwing.
Something to think about, but in all likeliness, Manning will be fine and Wayne will still be one of the better receivers to own.
30. Jonathan Stewart (ADP 35.68): No way Jonathan Stewart is still a selection in the first five rounds of a ten team draft. With DeAngelo Williams back on the team, to go with one of the worst passing offenses in football, Stewart should be viewed as an early backup to stash on your team.
I expect Stewart’s ADP value to drop from this point on, and his ADP value should be more like an eight or ninth round pick for ten team leagues.
More 2011 Fantasy Football Draft Tips