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Running Backs ADP Values – ESPN vs Yahoo

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A fine example of the drastic differences between ESPN and Yahoo ADP trends can be found with running back Shonn Greene. On ESPN Greene’s ADP stands in at 63.4 but on Yahoo, he’s going much higher than that as he’s listed at a 29.6 value. Not all the running backs listed between the two sites have this gap, but you can find others like Jahvid Best who is going at 48.8 on ESPN but landing way down at 83.8 in Yahoo drafts.

I’m not the biggest believer in basing ADP trends to determine my personal rankings, but I’ve found over the years, that those who play regularly on one hosting site, tend to follow these trends, when selecting players for their squads. Maybe it’s because sites like ESPN or Yahoo have a player simply listed higher or lower on their player listings, that helps determine where most average fantasy owners will select a player.

What I mean by that is, because they see Greene listed close to a top twenty option on one site, the average fantasy owner will think that is the next-best runner to draft (or it’s just the computer drafting), therefore they select them. Change his ranking on another site like ESPN, and that same fantasy owner, might wait to take them, in a mock draft or even a real-live draft.

Right or wrong, this type of reasoning can help determine ADP results, which is why, it’s interesting to take a look at ADP values, to read the trends, but you shouldn’t but major stock into their results.

Overvalued

Maurice Jones-Drew: ESPN 8.0, Yahoo 16.7 – Clearly, MJD’s ADP value on Yahoo is more acceptable, but I strongly recommend you look to him as nothing more than a second round option this year. Coming off microfracture knee surgery, Jones-Drew likely won’t look like his old self, and it’s likely he won’t play a down in the preseason. If you must have MJD on your team, it’s advisable that you snag Rashad Jennings in the later rounds as a hand cuff.

Ryan Grant: ESPN ADP 53.0, Yahoo ADP 87.8 – Look to Ryan Grant’s ADP as listed on Yahoo as fair value this summer. The veteran has struggled to come back from his ankle injury that cost him, basically the entire 2010 season. With James Starks breathing down his neck and rookie Alex Green play well, Grant is going to have a hard time find weekly success for fantasy owners.

At best, Grant should be viewed as a depth option for your team, and you should look to him no higher than your RB-4 this summer.

Undervalued

Beanie Wells – Yahoo ADP 106.7 – With Ryan Williams gone for the season, it’s time to believe in Beanie Wells as an option that is worthy over your RB-3 at summer drafts. Wells ADP value in ESPN leagues is about right as he stands in at 58.9, which puts him around the sixth round.

In Yahoo leagues, Wells ADP value is way down, and I expect his actual draft day value to land somewhere around a sixth to seventh-round pick in those leagues. I’m sure many of your don’t believe that Wells has what it takes to be a fantasy starter, but the bottom line for Wells’s failures in 2010, is because he suffered a knee injury in the fourth preseason game, and his quarterback situation was horrible.

Give Wells, another chance and he will give you solid numbers this year, as Kevin Kolb will help this team win games, and his presence will keep this offense productive.

Mark Ingram ESPN ADP 66.7, Yahoo 77.4 - Those of you that have followed my work over the summer, are probably tired of hearing about Mark Ingram, but this rookie is simply undervalued. Sure, maybe the Saints will use a RBBC to start the season, but Ingram is going to be the goal-line runner in this offense, and will take over the majority of touches by the end of September.

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Pierre Thomas has struggled to stay healthy in recent years, and I have no confidence that he will stay on the field for a full season. Look to Ingram as a must have RB-3 from the sixth round down.

Marshawn Lynch ESPN ADP 79.6, Yahoo ADP 92.6 – Sure, the Seahawks are going to be below average as a passing team,but they should have success on the ground. The additions of offensive line coach Tom Cable and left guard Robert Gallary will only help Lynch to be a productive flex play option.

Going somewhere around the eighth to tenth round in ESPN and Yahoo leagues, Lynch is a great value pick to add on the depth of your squad. It also doesn’t hurt that Lynch gets the Cardinals and Rams in his division.

More ESPN vs Yahoo ADP Values – QB | RB | WR | TE |

ESPN ADP

Yahoo ADP

1

Adrian Peterson

1.7

2.3

2

Arian Foster

2.7

1.5

3

Chris Johnson

4.8

5.0

4

Jamaal Charles

5.6

4.7

5

Ray Rice

7.1

6.6

6

Maurice Jones-Drew

8.4

16.7

7

LeSean McCoy

10.5

13.6

8

Rashard Mendenhall

12.7

10.3

9

Michael Turner

15.6

8.0

10

Frank Gore

16.5

22.8

11

Steven Jackson

20.8

29.6

12

Darren McFadden

23.0

14.4

13

Peyton Hillis

25.3

28.9

14

Matt Forte

28.5

29.6

15

DeAngelo Williams

33.3

62.4

16

Ahmad Bradshaw

35.5

38.9

17

LeGarrette Blount

36.5

47.2

18

Knowshon Moreno

41.5

84.6

19

Felix Jones

45.8

92.4

20

Jahvid Best

48.8

83.8

21

BenJarvus Green-Ellis

49.0

82.3

22

Jonathan Stewart

50.7

95.3

23

Ryan Grant

53.0

87.8

24

Beanie Wells

58.9

106.7

25

Ryan Mathews

60.5

69.8

26

Shonn Greene

63.4

29.6

27

Mark Ingram

66.7

77.4

28

Cedric Benson

68.7

88.0

29

Fred Jackson

76.9

96.8

30

Marshawn Lynch

79.6

92.6

31

Daniel Thomas

81.7

84.5

32

Joseph Addai

87.0

104.0

33

Pierre Thomas

89.2

118.6

34

Mike Tolbert

92.4

105.3

35

Brandon Jacobs

98.9

116.8

36

Tim Hightower

99.6

113.3

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