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2012 Quarterback ADP Trends

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Depth, Depth, Depth

I’ve said it for the past three years in a row, “this is the deep quarterback class I’ve seen in over 20 years of playing fantasy football.”

Yup, this year beats last year for sure as breakout stars like Matthew Stafford and Cam Newton landed into the top five and project to stay in that range for awhile. Even Eli Manning proved to us that he’s much more than an early round backup, and is likely to have another big year, even if Hakeem Nicks misses a few games.

Throw in a healthy Peyton Manning and suddenly you have to be a darn good to make the top ten quarterbacks these days. Just look at Matt Ryan, he’s got Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez on his team and his value is increased with talk about the Falcons throwing the football more this year. Even Ryan can’t go off the board earlier than the tenth or eleventh quarterback.

Value Changes With League Size

Even with all this depth it really depends on how deep your league is to determine the true value of the quarterbacks. In a recent 16 team dynasty league draft I’m in, quarterbacks were of high value, going off the board early and often. Perhaps it is the scarcity of numbers, as even if you have 12 good quarterbacks, it means four teams in a league like that won’t get one, thus driving the value higher.

This clearly wouldn’t be the case in a ten team league, as by the math, if you’re comfortable starting ten or eleven quarterbacks on the board, you can easily wait and get one in the middle rounds. It’s up to you, but ask yourself which quarterbacks are you comfortable starting weekly out of the top options on the board.

If your hesitant about a few of those names, possibly Michael Vick, Philip Rivers, Tony Romo or Peyton Manning it’s probably wise to avoid them and draft someone else. This may mean you pick someone like Drew Brees in the early rounds, but at least you have a quarterback you can trust, and the benefits with Brees is he can throw for over 5,000 yards.

June ADP Trends – Overall | QB | RB | WR | TE |

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Quarterbacks FFC CBS
Aaron Rodgers

4

4

Tom Brady

9

8

Drew Brees

13

6

Cam Newton

21

17

Matthew Stafford

27

19

Michael Vick

42

38

Eli Manning

63

34

Philip Rivers

73

36

Tony Romo

68

45

Peyton Manning

55

65

Matt Ryan

80

55

Matt Schaub

111

74

Robert Griffin III

93

134

Jay Cutler

101

112

Ben Roethlisberger

98

216

Josh Freeman

126

163

Andy Dalton

133

61

Andrew Luck

130

110

Carson Palmer

138

98

Joe Flacco

155

128

Ryan Fitzpatrick

152

125

Sam Bradford

183

130

Alex Smith

175

188

Matt Flynn

160

207

Tim Tebow

171

143

Mark Sanchez

219

191

Jake Locker

233

238

Ryan Tannehill

238

245

Christian Ponder

244

195

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