2012 ADP: PPR Running Backs Trends
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We have 42 running backs going through nine rounds of recent ADP trends for PPR leagues. While no one can deny the top tiers of the 2012 running back class are the weakest we’ve seen, maybe ever, the depth at this position overall is actually respectable.
Perhaps that shouldn’t surprises us; not only are teams using RBBCs with regularity, but we have a decent group of veteran running backs that may see their production fall off as the year moves along, coupled with talented youngsters, waiting in the wings to capitalize on an opportunity to start.
While recent ADP trends would suggest enough running backs are off the board after nine round to give every team (in a ten team league) four running backs on their roster, we can still find some of these potential breakout running backs in later rounds.
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David Wilson (10.06) –
Coaches and teammates are gushing over the talent David Wilson has shown in OTAs and early camps. While Ahmad Bradshaw is the main option now, his foot problems are concerning and if Wilson can clean up his pass protection, he could be in for a breakout rookie year.
Ryan Williams (10.08) –
There is no timetable for when Beanie Wells gets on the practice field as he’s been rehabbing a knee injury all off-season. Williams is back practicing with the team at the start of camp and if he should show well through the preseason, his fantasy stock could volt up into the top thirty.
No question Williams has the talent to un-seat Wells as the starter and we should be actually more concerned about the veterans’ knee, rather than Williams season-ending injury last August.
Ronnie Hillman (11.05) –
The day will come and in 2012 when all fantasy owners around the world will come to know the name Ronnie Hillman. I’ve talked about this guy so much this off-season I’m almost sick of him, but then I think about what could be if he picks up his pass protection responsibilities (won’t stay on the field if he doesn’t) and if Willis McGahee sustains an injury, and I’m excited again.
Both things should happen and even if McGahee stays healthy, we should expect him to wear down by November.
Jacquizz Rodgers (12.05) –
For as much hype as Rodgers was getting in the early off-season, you would think his ADP would be higher. While Turner is on the decline and may fade out of a starting job by the end of the year, we should expect him to get 240 carries and remains the goal line back.
If something should happen to the veteran, Rodgers makes for an interesting stash on your bench, but he may be available on the waiver wire, as fantasy owners grow frustrated waiting for him to get an opportunity.
Kevin Smith (13.04) –
The man just won’t go away and some how he seems to find his way back into the starting lineup in Detroit. Left for dead last season but the NFL, Smith received another shot with the Lions after injuries piled up. He made the most of his opportunity and proved he could be an RB2 when given the starting job.
Problem is Mikel Leshoure will be back after the first two weeks, and while Jahvid Best could be cleared at any time for full contact. I’m not sure the latter will ever happen as it’s been over nine months since Best’s concussion, and we are still waiting for him to get on the field.
Smith is a worthy top 35 back and will be moving up in the coming weeks, as he is now likely to start the first two weeks.
Rashad Jennings (13.06) –
The longer Maurice Jones-Drew holds out the better Rashad Jennings looks to fantasy owners. If you picked him up in your dynasty league this spring, your loving life right now and might get a few trade offers. Unless someone is willing to sell you a first-round pick, I would keep this guy.
Call it a hunch but I just feel Jones-Drew is destined for a bust season, and with Jennings getting first-team reps in OTAs and training camp, we could have an RB2 on our hands if Jones-Drew is out for any time.
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