ADP Trends – Tight Ends
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News of Jason Witten’s spleen injury and Fred Davis’s lackluster training camp are hurting the depth of quality starting options at the tight end position. Recent trends show us that ten tight ends are going off the board in the first ten rounds; that’s just enough to give every team a starter.
Graham vs. Gronk
While I agree that Graham is worth picking over Rob Gronkowski, the margin should be loser than recent ADP suggest. For whatever reason Gronkowski has fallen into the early third round, while Graham is holding steady as the fifth player off the board in the second round.
If Gronkowski should fall into the late second round, jump on him. Assuming you’re in a snake draft, you will soon pick again and have one of the elite tight ends on your squad.
As for Graham, he’s worth selecting in the middle of the second round, but you must decide if you see enough talent at the running back position to pass on him. Your odds finding a running back like Ahmad Bradshaw, Trent Richardson or Fred Jackson are likely names to fall back your way in the middle of the third round.
Jason Witten Dropping
Witten is sliding in fantasy drafts down to the ninth round, and should continue to fall. Hopefully Witten won’t have surgery to remove his spleen, but he’s being monitored since last week for up to fourteen days.
Even when Witten is cleared for activities he will be slowly worked back and is likely to miss time into the season. If you target Witten as a low TE1, give Kyle Rudolph a chance as a backup that can step in and produce early on.
ADP Trends By Position - Top 100 | QB | RB | WR | TE |
ADP’s below are from Fantasy Football Calculator.
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| Tight Ends | ADP |
| Jimmy Graham |
2.05 |
| Rob Gronkowski |
3.01 |
| Antonio Gates |
5.04 |
| Aaron Hernandez |
6.04 |
| Jermichael Finley |
7.01 |
| Vernon Davis |
7.03 |
| Jacob Tamme |
8.10 |
| Jason Witten |
9.04 |
| Fred Davis |
10.04 |
| Brandon Pettigrew |
10.06 |
| Tony Gonzalez |
11.09 |
| Jermaine Gresham |
12.10 |
| Greg Olsen |
13.05 |
| Coby Fleener |
13.07 |
| Owen Daniels |
13.07 |
| Jared Cook |
13.08 |
| Brent Celek |
13.08 |
| Kyle Rudolph |
14.01 |
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