ADP Trends – Top 100
Running backs continue to dominate the early portion of recent mock drafts with nine going off the board in the first thirteen picks. Around the mid-second round we have a breaking point were ADP trends are showing us fantasy owners are opting more for elite talents at other positions as five receivers, two tight ends and two quarterbacks are gone in the next eighteen picks.
For most of the summer my thoughts on the first three rounds has veered towards going with three running backs, opting to trust the depth at the receiver and quarterback positions.
I’m starting to change that thinking mainly because between the fourth and sixth round you still have Darren Sproles, Ahmad Bradshaw, Michael Turner, Doug Martin, Frank Gore, Reggie Bush, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Willis McGahee and a personal favorite of mine Peyton Hillis.
While I still suggest you go with two running backs in the first three rounds, acquiring one of the big five quarterbacks, elite tight ends like Ron Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham or wide receiver Calvin Johnson as one of your first three picks is a good idea.
TE1 Talent Thinning Out
Especially the tight ends, because we should be concerned about the depth of TE1 caliber options after news on Jason Witten’s spleen and Fred Davis having a quite training camp as Robert Griffin is looking to other players in the passing game. Don’t forget about Jermichael Finley on this list of concerning talents.
Finley has the ability and situation to be a top five fantasy tight end, but his problems with health continued early in camp with a concussion. Backup D.J. Williams has done some good things this off-season. Don’t expect Williams to push Finley for a starting job, but if Finley goes down, and Williams flashes on the field, we could see the Packers opt to hold Finley out until he’s “fully healed” from an ailment.
ADP Trends By Position - Top 100 | QB | RB | WR | TE |
ADP’s below are from Fantasy Football Calculator.
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| Player | POS | ADP | |
|
1 |
Arian Foster |
RB |
1.02 |
|
2 |
Aaron Rodgers |
QB |
1.03 |
|
3 |
Ray Rice |
RB |
1.03 |
|
4 |
LeSean McCoy |
RB |
1.03 |
|
5 |
Tom Brady |
QB |
1.06 |
|
6 |
Calvin Johnson |
WR |
1.06 |
|
7 |
Darren McFadden |
RB |
1.07 |
|
8 |
Chris Johnson |
RB |
1.08 |
|
9 |
Drew Brees |
QB |
1.08 |
|
10 |
Matt Forte |
RB |
1.10 |
|
11 |
DeMarco Murray |
RB |
2.03 |
|
12 |
Maurice Jones-Drew |
RB |
2.03 |
|
13 |
Adrian Peterson |
RB |
2.04 |
|
14 |
Jimmy Graham |
TE |
2.05 |
|
15 |
Jamaal Charles |
RB |
2.06 |
|
16 |
Matthew Stafford |
QB |
2.06 |
|
17 |
Julio Jones |
WR |
2.06 |
|
18 |
Marshawn Lynch |
RB |
2.08 |
|
19 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
WR |
2.09 |
|
20 |
Rob Gronkowski |
TE |
3.01 |
|
21 |
Cam Newton |
QB |
3.01 |
|
22 |
Steven Jackson |
RB |
3.01 |
|
23 |
Ryan Mathews |
RB |
3.02 |
|
24 |
Andre Johnson |
WR |
3.04 |
|
25 |
Fred Jackson |
RB |
3.05 |
|
26 |
A.J. Green |
WR |
3.06 |
|
27 |
Brandon Marshall |
WR |
3.07 |
|
28 |
Greg Jennings |
WR |
3.07 |
|
29 |
Trent Richardson |
RB |
3.08 |
|
30 |
Wes Welker |
WR |
3.09 |
|
31 |
Roddy White |
WR |
3.10 |
|
32 |
Darren Sproles |
RB |
4.01 |
|
33 |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
RB |
4.03 |
|
34 |
Jordy Nelson |
WR |
4.04 |
|
35 |
Victor Cruz |
WR |
4.04 |
|
36 |
Michael Turner |
RB |
4.05 |
|
37 |
Hakeem Nicks |
WR |
4.06 |
|
38 |
Dez Bryant |
WR |
4.09 |
|
39 |
Doug Martin |
RB |
4.09 |
|
40 |
Michael Vick |
QB |
5.02 |
|
41 |
Steve Smith |
WR |
5.02 |
|
42 |
Frank Gore |
RB |
5.02 |
|
43 |
Marques Colston |
WR |
5.04 |
|
44 |
Antonio Gates |
TE |
5.04 |
|
45 |
Percy Harvin |
WR |
5.04 |
|
46 |
Brandon Lloyd |
WR |
5.05 |
|
47 |
Reggie Bush |
RB |
5.06 |
|
48 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
RB |
5.07 |
|
49 |
Mike Wallace |
WR |
5.07 |
|
50 |
Demaryius Thomas |
WR |
5.10 |
|
51 |
Willis McGahee |
RB |
6.01 |
|
52 |
Matt Ryan |
QB |
6.03 |
|
53 |
Antonio Brown |
WR |
6.03 |
|
54 |
Aaron Hernandez |
TE |
6.04 |
|
55 |
Eric Decker |
WR |
6.04 |
|
56 |
Jeremy Maclin |
WR |
6.05 |
|
57 |
Peyton Hillis |
RB |
6.07 |
|
58 |
Miles Austin |
WR |
6.07 |
|
59 |
DeSean Jackson |
WR |
6.09 |
|
60 |
Isaac Redman |
RB |
7.01 |
|
61 |
Jermichael Finley |
TE |
7.01 |
|
62 |
Vincent Jackson |
WR |
7.02 |
|
63 |
Shonn Greene |
RB |
7.02 |
|
64 |
Vernon Davis |
TE |
7.03 |
|
65 |
Steve Johnson |
WR |
7.03 |
|
66 |
Dwayne Bowe |
WR |
7.04 |
|
67 |
Donald Brown |
RB |
7.05 |
|
68 |
Tony Romo |
QB |
7.05 |
|
69 |
Peyton Manning |
QB |
7.06 |
|
70 |
Pierre Garcon |
WR |
7.09 |
|
71 |
Eli Manning |
QB |
7.10 |
|
72 |
Stevan Ridley |
RB |
8.01 |
|
73 |
Kevin Smith |
RB |
8.03 |
|
74 |
Beanie Wells |
RB |
8.04 |
|
75 |
Philip Rivers |
QB |
8.05 |
|
76 |
Torrey Smith |
WR |
8.06 |
|
77 |
Reggie Wayne |
WR |
8.06 |
|
78 |
Ben Tate |
RB |
8.09 |
|
79 |
Jonathan Stewart |
RB |
8.10 |
|
80 |
Cedric Benson |
RB |
8.10 |
|
81 |
Jacob Tamme |
TE |
8.10 |
|
82 |
Titus Young |
WR |
8.10 |
|
83 |
Mark Ingram |
RB |
9.01 |
|
84 |
C.J. Spiller |
RB |
9.03 |
|
85 |
Robert Meachem |
WR |
9.04 |
|
86 |
Kenny Britt |
WR |
9.04 |
|
87 |
49ers Defense |
D/ST |
9.04 |
|
88 |
Jason Witten |
TE |
9.04 |
|
89 |
Robert Griffin III |
QB |
9.07 |
|
90 |
Denarius Moore |
WR |
9.09 |
|
91 |
Roy Helu |
RB |
9.10 |
|
92 |
Malcom Floyd |
WR |
9.10 |
|
93 |
Jay Cutler |
QB |
10.02 |
|
94 |
David Wilson |
RB |
10.02 |
|
95 |
LeGarrette Blount |
RB |
10.04 |
|
96 |
Fred Davis |
TE |
10.04 |
|
97 |
Darrius Heyward-Bey |
WR |
10.04 |
|
98 |
Anquan Boldin |
WR |
10.05 |
|
99 |
Brandon Pettigrew |
TE |
10.06 |
|
100 |
Randy Moss |
WR |
10.07 |
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