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Geno Smith – 2013 Fantasy Outlook

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Photo By: Rich Barnes / USA TODAY Sports

Photo By: Rich Barnes / USA TODAY Sports

Geno Smith | New York Jets | QB

2013 Experience: Rookie

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Fantasy Football Outlook: Before the end of last season it was clear Mark Sanchez’s time in New York would be coming to an end soon. No surprise the Jets drafted a quarterback in the early rounds with the selection of Geno Smith, who was talked about as a potential top five pick throughout the draft process.

Unfortunately for both Smith and the Jets, this could be a case of “careful what you wish for” as Smith appears to have maturity issues and the Jets are in the wrong city and do a poor job deflecting media attention away from the team.

Coming into OTAs we knew Smith would be the future starter, but Sanchez still had a chance to hold down the job for one more year and perhaps prove to a GM or two around the league he was worth bringing in as more than just a backup.

So far, so bad as Sanchez has already had one practice with a three interception performance. While I wouldn’t be surprised to see Smith start week one and actually play well at times I’m not sure he will ever develop into a respectable fantasy option.

First off, the talent around him needs work. Santonio Holmes will probably be gone after this season and his foot injury could give him problems throughout the season. I like Jeremy Kerley but he’s more of a slot receiver and not likely to be an option on the outside.

Second year receiver Stephen Hill is coming back from a knee injury and needs all the playing time he can get. Hill was a talented but raw receiver coming out of Georgia Tech and hasn’t proven to run a full route tree with any effective production, so he’s mostly good for the long ball.

While former tight end Dustin Keller had his health problems at least he was a proven go to option in the passing game over his career and I’m not sure you can say that about the depth on the team right now.

Running Back Mike Goodson has some skills out of the backfield, but his recent off the field issues may eventually lead to the Jets releasing him, let alone the legal trouble he may face. Projected starter Chris Ivory will do a good job on the ground but he has a history of health problems and won’t be an option for Smith in the passing game.

Add it up, and this team needs to play top notch defense, mistake-free football and be one of the top ten teams in the league in rushing the football to give Smith an adequate chance to finish with a successful campaign.

Don’t look to Smith as an option in redraft leagues, but he does have early round value in dynasty rookie drafts. It will take a couple of years before Smith is ready to have fantasy relevance and it will be up to management to give him a coaching staff and weapons to succeed.

Passing Stats Rushing Stats
Yards TD INT Yards TD
2013 Projected Stats 2,745 11 16 222 0
2013 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: ADP's | Rankings | Mocks | Cheat Sheets + Auctions
Year School Conf Class Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A TD Int Rate
2009* West Virginia Big East FR 32 49 65.3 309 6.3 1 1 120.9
2010* West Virginia Big East SO 241 372 64.8 2763 7.4 24 7 144.7
2011* West Virginia Big East JR 346 526 65.8 4385 8.3 31 7 152.6
2012* West Virginia Big 12 SR 369 518 71.2 4205 8.1 42 6 163.9
Career West Virginia 988 1465 67.4 11662 8.0 98 21 153.5

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