2013 Fantasy Outlook: Alfred Morris
Alfred Morris | Washington Redskins | RB
2013 Experience: 2nd Season
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Fantasy Football Outlook: As training camp began Morris was actually trying out at full back for the Redskins but injuries to Evan Royster and Roy Helu opened the door for the little-known rookie to work as a running back.
Well as we all know how things turned out as Morris turned out to be one of Mike Shanahan’s best late round sleeper rookie’s at the position of all time. Like Terrell Davis and Clinton Portis, Morris played at a level that should keep him as the feature runner in this offense for awhile. That’s saying something when you consider how Shanahan loves to tinker with his backfield.
Morris has earned the right to be the Redskins unquestioned bell cow back as he carried the football 335 times for 1,600 yards in his rookie season. Perhaps it wasn’t his physical style or his durability and dependability that was most impressive, but that he seemed to get stronger as the season went on.
He proved this with a career game when the team needed it most with the playoffs on the line in a week 17 performance against the Cowboys. In that game Morris shredded Dallas with 33 carries for 200 yards and three touchdowns.
In the last seven weeks of the season Morris had no fewer than 20 carries a game and he should be one of the leaders in carries in his sophomore season. For many young players coming off the kind of workload Morris had I would be concerned about a sophomore slump but I have little doubt about this back.
Because of his performance down the stretch, coupled with the scheme he has to work in and Robert Griffin at quarterback we should feel good about Morris’s odds of performing as a RB1 stud.
With another year under his belt, we could see his reception totals increase but if Helu can stay on the field, he should earn regular work in passing situation. Going as a first-round pick in standard league ADP trends I have little problem with you targeting him in that range for those leagues.
View him as a solid second-round pick in PPR leagues, as I think he has a shot to reach 20 to 25 receptions this year. Even if he hangs around 10 on the season, his workload in the run game coupled with his touchdown ability at the goal line makes him a worthy, low-end RB1 in those leagues.
We should also like the way his division sets up as the Eagles are switching to a 3-4 base and have questionable personnel for that scheme, and Dallas is in the same boat as they switch from a 3-4 base (Anthony Spencer and DeMarcus Ware are undersized ends who are better suited to play OLB, good for opposing run game) to the Tampa-2.
In New York, I’ve seen little to suggest they will bounce back and stuff the run (also hurts that Jason Pierre-Paul had back surgery this summer) this season after struggling in 2012, so expect Morris to continue to flourish against his division.
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|2013 Projected Stats||348||1,471||12||20||121||0|
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