2013 Fantasy Outlook: Colin Kaepernick
Colin Kaepernick | San Francisco 49ers | QB
2013 Experience: 3rd Season
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Fantasy Football Outlook: There’s no other way to put it, losing Michael Crabtree for the season (at least for the fantasy help) really sucks for Kaepernick! Before Crabtree’s injury Kaepernick might have been a little overvalued going close to the top five.
Then again, if the 49ers secondary struggles like it did in the playoffs, we could see Kaepernick throw the football more than we might anticipate during the summer, thus giving him a chance to throw for 4,000 yards. That would help this talented quarterback, but without Crabtree we should expect his passing touchdown total to hang around 20 for the season.
Time will tell if defenses can slow down Kaepernick’s running ability but if not, it’s not out of the possibility to see him run for over 1,000 yards. I’m not sure we’ve seen a quarterback other than Michael Vick with the explosive running ability that this young man has.
Robert Griffin and Cam Newton are terrific running quarterbacks, but Newton doesn’t have the speed Kaepernick has and Griffin won’t be running that much (or at least he should be) coming off his knee injury.
The 49ers do an excellent job of giving opposing defense something different in terms of their play design, various packages in terms of personnel and play calling. This is a very smart coaching staff in San Francisco and they will help Kaepernick through tough times.
Even with Crabtree out, I still like Kaepernick as a low-end QB1 and if you can grab him around the 7th round that would be a fair pick in his current situation.
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|2013 Projected Stats||3,445||20||8||834||7|
2013 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: ADP's | Rankings | Mocks | Cheat Sheets + Auctions
To help you get ready for draft day you will notice articles for ADP advice, cheat sheets, mock drafts and projected stats for Colin Kaepernick here. During the season, you can also find regular weekly ranking articles at this section as well.
January 14th, 2013: Colin Kaepernick & 49ers Super Bowl Bound?
The most talked about quarterback heading into the divisional round of the 2013 playoffs wasn’t Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Matt Ryan or even Aaron Rodgers by NFL pundits, it was 49ers Colin Kaepernick. The second-year quarterback received an opportunity to start after Alex Smith suffered a concussion, and because of his play against the Bears and Saints the youngster was awarded the starting job, mainly because of the upside his skill-set presented.
While Kaepernick has the physical tools to be an elite quarterback in the NFL in the future, the 49ers have an elite defense and running game. With this in mind it only seemed to make sense that San Francisco should stick with Smith, a game managing quarterback who will keep this team on schedule to place your Super Bowl Betting on the team that plays in the city by the Bay.
Packers Come To Town
With the Packers coming to town for the 49ers first playoff game, many in the media pegged Green Bay to win the game because they had last years MVP and former Super Bowl winner Aaron Rodgers at quarterback.
Anyone who watched the game knows how things started out; Kaepernick throwing an interception to Sam Shields and traveled into the end zone. From that point on, the 49ers offense went on to post 45-points as Kaepernick threw for 263-yards and two touchdowns, also running for a playoff record 181-yards on the ground with two more rushing scores.
This was the kind of performance that validated Head Coach Jim Harbaugh’s decision to start his talented yet inexperience quarterback in the middle of the season.
It was the kind of performance that has many fantasy owners drooling about his potential coming into next year and the case has to be made that Kaepernick is worthy of drafting as your starting quarterback in 10-team leagues.
What we do have to keep in mind is his performance against the Packers should be viewed as the top end of his production, especially on the ground. Through his eight starts during the regular-season Kaepernick posted only three games over 50-yards on the ground and his game high on the season was an 84-yard performance against the Rams.
Clearly the Packers were thrown off by the 49ers reinserting the pistol offense ( quarterback lines up in shot gun but lines up in front of the running back, not by his side) for 50 percent of their snaps after practically abandoning this formation in the final two games of the regular season.
This was the offense Kaepernick helped put on the map in his college days in Nevada and should continue to be a formation that gives the Falcons problems this week.
As for the passing game, look no further than No.1 receiver Michael Crabtree as a big reason why Kaepernick is lighting-up teams in the red zone. Over the past two weeks Crabtree has scored 4 touchdowns with 17 receptions and a whooping 291-yards.
If the 49ers are going to make the Super Bowl, we need to see Kaepernick play mistake free football and that can happen (only three interceptions during the regular season), but keep in mind the Falcons have been an opportunistic defense when playing at home. We’ve seen this group shutout the Giants offense, and force five interceptions on Drew Brees during the second half of the season.
Then again, this is the same unit that gave up 385-yards passing and 60-yards on the ground to rookie Russell Wilson last week, so perhaps they tend to struggle against mobile quarterbacks. Just look to the success of Cam Newton against Atlanta this year as another reason to believe in Kaepernick’s ability to excel once again in his second playoff game.
No matter what happens in Atlanta, what we do know is the future appears to be bright for Kaepernick and if he fails to lead his team to the Super Bowl this season, they will remain a contender in future years.
Summer of 2011: Fantasy Projections
Colin Kaepernick and Nevada burst onto the National scene with the Pistol offense and a terrific season that hit it’s high note with a victory over then top five ranked Boise State last fall. I must admit for all the success Kaepernick had in college, of the top quarterback at this draft, he was the last on my list of hopefuls for my home town 49ers to select.
That said, while Kaepernick will be challenged with learning to play under center, like Alex Smith was coming out of Utah, this young quarterback will have a completely different supporting cast than the former first overall selection had. The 49ers actually have an offensive minded Head Coach, something Smith never had in his long run with the 49ers, and Kaepernick will have a respectable, young supporting cast around.
The same couldn’t be said for Smith, as the 49ers offensive line was in shambles, and his best play maker was a young Brandon Lloyd that was (at times) afraid to go over the middle.
Finally, a 49er quarterback can rely on an offensive playbook that will be here to stay as long as Coach Jim Harbaugh is with this team. The road to success, and fantasy football relevance may be quicker than many realize for Kaepernick, as his added running ability will give him bonus value in his stat line.
Don’t expect big things this season, as the NFL lockout and a rookie season are too much to project Kaepernick as a fantasy option this season. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if Kaepernick becomes a trendy waiver wire to late round selection in 2012 leagues. The future is still bright for the 49ers offense, with a young talented nucleus.
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|2011 Projected Stats||573||3||4||62||0|