2013 Fantasy Outlook: Jermichael Finley
Jermichael Finley | Green Bay Packers | TE
2013 Experience: 6th Season
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Fantasy Football Outlook: Finley has the talent and situation to be a top five tight end in fantasy leagues but health problems and questionable work ethic have held him down. Finley is a player who has me torn about what to think of him.
On one hand I could point to his production down the stretch and that he’s in a contract year as reasons to believe he will hold top ten value at this position. On the other hand Finley could get lost in the shuffle as the Packers have the talent in the backfield to run the football more effectively, late in games.
While Greg Jennings is gone, they still have James Jones, Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson at the top of their receiving core. It’s hard to say the loss of Jennings will help Finley when Jennings was injured most of last season, and look how that turned out.
As of recent ADP trends Finley is a boarderline TE1 going as the 12th off the board at this position. I figure that’s about right for him as he’s more of a low-risk boom or bust option. Going in the 10th round of 12-team leagues, consider Finley a fair value TE1.
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2013 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: ADP's | Rankings | Mocks | Cheat Sheets + Auctions
To help you get ready for draft day you will notice articles for ADP advice, cheat sheets, mock drafts and projected stats for Jermichael Finley here. During the season, you can also find regular weekly ranking articles at this section as well.
Summer of 2012: Fantasy Projections
After tasting what Jermichael Finley could be toward the end of the 2009 season and the beginning of the 2010 season, it was hard to rank him outside the top five last year.
Still, Finley was coming off a knee injury that cost him most of the 2010, and usually it’s the second year back for an injury like that where you see a player perform up to expectations. I believe that will be the case with Finley and while he’s trending as the sixth tight end off the board in recent mocks, he’s capable of out producing his value.
Because the Packers have such a talented group of receivers, they spread the football around and Finley is unlikely to post the type of reception numbers we saw from Ron Gronkowski or Jimmy Graham last year. Still, he is a quality Joker tight end that gives defenses fits, when the Packers line him up as a receiver.
Don’t sleep on Finley if he’s still hanging around in the sixth or seventh round of your draft, and give him the benefit of the doubt, that his second year removed from the knee injury will pay off.
August 3rd Update – I’m not ready to give up on Finley’s odds for top five production, but his recent concussion and the emergence of D.J. Williams in camp are concerning. We need to keep an eye on this situation, before draft day. As long as Finley is on the field he will be worth starting, but if Williams earns more time, it would allow the Packers to give Finley extended rest if he should have another injury.
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Summer of 2011: Fantasy Projections
Expectations were high for Jermichael Finley and in the first month of the season, he was living up to the hype, as he already had two games over a hundred yards and looked like the top five tight end many predicted he would be.
Unfortunately, Finley suffered a torn meniscus in his knee, week five and was lost for the season.So far, Finley looks to be recovering well from the injury, but we won’t know for sure how effective he will be until the regular season begins.
Don’t be surprised if he continues to tell the press “everything feels great” but at the same time remember that doesn’t guarantee he will be a top end producer. Last off-season Owen Daniels said the same thing (torn ACL) and had a down year, later admitting he was just trying to stay positive when he said all felt great, but he knew otherwise.
Coming into the summer Finley’s ADP value on Mock Draft Central is listed as the 5th best receiver in standard redraft leagues and ESPN’s rankings have him listed as the 4th best tight end. If the tight end depth wasn’t so weak, I would probably rank Finley outside the top five but because the elite talent is few, I have Finley as the 5th best tight end this season. Just remember that there is some risk with Finley as he is still returning from a knee injury.
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Jermichael Finley broke out last season and is now the official starting tight end in Green Bay. After his impressive playoff performance, Finley could move up into the top five fantasy tight ends to draft for 2010.
2010 Fantasy Football Outlook
2009 Fantasy Year In Review: Jermichael Finley came onto the scene in the preseason as he made some big plays that made fantasy owners take note. Even with a good preseason it’s hard to know how a player is actually going to perform when the regular season begins.
Finley responded by showing everyone he has the physical tools to be a great fantasy player for years to come. No more was this truer than his playoff performance against the Cardinals. In that contest Finley racked up six receptions for 159 yards (26.5 yard per catch average) in the game.
2010 NFL Fantasy Football Player Rankings: Finley had his share of issues last season with a sprained knee and constant tardiness. This offseason Finley has noted during OTA’s that he has a new attitude and he won’t slack off like he did a year ago.
One concern for Finley is he did note that his sprained knee is still a minor problem. Seeing that he played at a high level late in the season we’re not that concerned about the knee.
Look for Finley to take another step on the road to become a truly elite fantasy tight end this up coming year.
– Great Physical Tools
– Touchdown Making Ability
– Great Offense / Team
– Knee A Small Concern
– Maturity Issues