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2013 ADP Trends: Quarterbacks

Robert Griffin Photo By: Evan Habeeb / USA TODAY Sports

With the league rules tilting towards the passing game in recent years, it seems more quarterbacks have the ability to threaten for over 4,000 yards passing and 26 or more touchdowns. That said, judging by this sports betting site, it’s no surprise that teams with top quarterbacks, more often than not are favored to win to open the season.

As defensive players continue to be penalized for big hits and league rules being what they are for practice to work on the skill of tackling, we are seeing young quarterbacks that may not have the pocket presence of the elite options like Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning, are emerging as start-worthy fantasy options because of their rushing numbers.

One second year quarterback that likely has the greatest challenge to maintain QB1 status is Redskins signal caller Robert Griffin. An elite running quarterback, Griffin suffered a major knee injury at the end of last season and we shouldn’t count on him running as much as last season.

That said, it is a credit to his work ethic and youth that Griffin was cleared to partake in Washington’s training camp practices as camp opens up in July. Expect Coach Mike Shanahan to take it slow with Griffin, but from a fantasy perspective I have no problem targeting him at his current ADP of 8.03.

Griffin has a terrific arm, and unlike other running quarterbacks like Michael Vick, he’s already displayed a willingness to play from the pocket. He still have enough mobility to buy himself time to throw the football, despite his knee rehab and his running numbers could improve as the season progresses.

Keep in mind that while Griffin may not run for more than 350-yards, he did show us he’s capable of putting up productive passing numbers without Pierre Garcon and Fred Davis on the field due to injury last season.

Both are back this year, and I have a feeling Griffin will find a way to produce as a matchup proof starter in ten team leagues despite the depth at the position this year.

Look to quarterbacks in the later rounds like Andy Dalton, Jay Cutler, Tony Romo, Sam Bradford and Carson Palmer as top options (in my opinion) for depth behind Griffin if it’s a part of your strategy to hold two quarterbacks.

That’s probably not a bad idea, if you select Griffin just to make sure he’s playing at a starter level early in the year. As long as Griffin doesn’t suffer a set back in August, I have no problem starting him week one, but should he struggle early, we might want to sit him down for a little while and at that point. At that point, it would be important to have a respectable option as a backup plan.

@seanfantasyinfo

Quarterbacks

ADP

Aaron Rodgers, GB

2.10

Drew Brees, NO

3.05

Peyton Manning, DEN

4.05

Cam Newton, CAR

5.07

Tom Brady, NE

6.02

Matt Ryan, ATL

6.04

Matthew Stafford, DET

7.06

Colin Kaepernick, SF

7.09

Robert Griffin III, WAS (I)

8.03

Russell Wilson, SEA

8.06

Andrew Luck, IND

8.08

Tony Romo, DAL

9.05

Eli Manning, NYG

10.07

Michael Vick, PHI

12.03

Andy Dalton, CIN

12.04

Ben Roethlisberger, PIT

13.01

Jay Cutler, CHI

13.04

Joe Flacco, BAL

13.08

Josh Freeman, TB

13.10

Matt Schaub, HOU

14.02

Carson Palmer, ARI

14.02

Sam Bradford, STL

14.04

Philip Rivers, SD

14.04

Ryan Tannehill, MIA

14.05

Standard League ADP’s are from Fantasy Football Calculator.

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