Aldon Smith | San Francisco 49ers | LB
2013 Experience: 3rd Season
IDP Fantasy Football Outlook: We saw just how important Justin Smith was to Aldon as the second-year linebacker failed to post a sack when the veteran was down with an arm injury. Thankfully Justin was extended by management and will be with the team for the next three years.
We all know by know that Aldon is one of the premier pass-rushers in the game but I would caution to view him as more than a LB3 on draft day. He did a better job in his tackles from his rookie year to his second year but remember he was only a sub-package player in 2011, and was a three down player last season.
With Justin on his side of the field and Patrick Willis and Navorro Bowman beside him, I don’t believe Aldon will total over 70 tackles in a season. That is to say, don’t expect him to post Von Miller numbers that could land Denver’s 3rd year linebacker close to 100 total tackles in a given year, much like we saw from James Harrison in Pittsburgh for a few years.
Still Aldon will make an impact and is a safer option in big-play leagues over tackle heavy.
|2013 Projected Stats||64||45||15||3||1|
2013 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: ADP's | Rankings | Mocks | Cheat Sheets + Auction Values
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Summer of 2012: Fantasy Projections
It almost drives me nuts to see NFL.com list Aldon Smith as a defensive end, because I would love to see him eligible as a lineman. If for some crazy reason he’s listed as an end in your league, he’s an elite DL1, but that’s very unlikely because most of his snaps come from outside linebacker.
As a 49ers fan, Aldon Smith came on slow as he transitioned to playing linebacker but after about three for four weeks, Smith started getting regular playing time in sub packages and took off.
By the end of the year Smith’s snap count expanded and he almost set the rookie sack record. Look to Smith as a reason why I have no problem with the Seahawks taking a sub package player like Bruce Irvin in the first round, but that’s getting off subject for what you’re interested in.
Smith is expect to win a full time role this year, and that means we should see his tackle numbers go up. In big-play leagues, Smith is a solid LB3, but in tackle heavy leagues he’s more of a LB4, to use in situational play.
The good news for Smith is that he gets the Cardinals, Seahawks and Rams crappy offensive lines six games out of the year. Those are all great matchups in just about any scoring format.
Summer of 2011: Fantasy Projections
I wasn’t a big fan of the 49ers drafting Aldon Smith because they are looking to convert him from an end to an outside linebacker. More than likely Smith will start out in various packages and won’t get regular playing time as it will take time to adjust to his new position and the off-season lockout won’t help matters.
For IDP fantasy football, a player like Smith would have benefited from landing on a team that runs more of a 4-3 or cover-2 defense. As of this time Smith has a ways to go before he is worth looking at off the waiver wire. Smith has the potential to be a worthy big play option, in the future, but it will take him time to learn on the job.
|2011 Projected Stats||24||18||2||0||0|