Mark Ingram | New Orleans Saints | RB
2013 Experience: 3rd Season
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Fantasy Football Outlook: Will this be the year? Yes and no for Ingram owners as we should expect the former Heisman Trophy winner to see an increase in touches with Chris Ivory out of town, and an expect re-commitment to the run with Sean Payton back.
Still, this team likes to use a group of backs and each has roles carved out in the offense in various offensive packages. Ingram will be the closer, but it’s debatable how often the Saints game scripts will allow for them to have the luxury to run at the end of games.
We know the defense needs worth as they flip from a 4-3 base to a 3-4 base and are coming off one of the worst statistical seasons in NFL history as a defense. Likely a setup for throwing to win or playing from behind in the 4th quarter and that is better for Darren Sproles and Pierre Thomas.
By this point in Ingram’s career, we should also expect him to see little in the passing game for receptions and that hurts his value in PPR leagues even more. While I expect Ingram to possibly surpass 200 carries, we should look to him as a depth running back on fantasy rosters and nothing higher.
At the end of the day, that’s about where he will land in your summer drafts.
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2013 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: ADP's | Rankings | Mocks | Cheat Sheets + Auctions
To help you get ready for draft day you will notice articles for ADP advice, cheat sheets, mock drafts and projected stats for Mark Ingram here. During the season, you can also find regular weekly ranking articles at this section as well.
August, 2012: Fantasy Projections
It’s hard for me to remember the last time a runner with so much talent, brought with him so much disappointment, without it really begin his fault.
Ingram can be an RB1 in fantasy leagues, but New Orleans use of a committee and his chronic knee problems have held him back.
Thankfully, Ingram active at the beginning of camp and if he should have a healthy preseason, he could work his way into the sixth or seventh-round pick in fantasy drafts.
First we want to see if Ingram is having problems with this knee flaring up, causing him to miss practice time. Second, of course we need to see him get in preseason action and prove he has his normal flexibility and burst when accelerating.
If Ingram is back from his knee surgery and ready to go, he could hold some sleeper value this year because fantasy owners will be down on him after a disappointing rookie campaign.
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Summer of 2012: Fantasy Projections
One of the greater disappointments from last year had to be the way Coach Sean Payton decided to use Mark Ingram in the offense. For the longest time, I’ve been unable to understand why you would trade up into the first round to land Ingram, only to use him in a heavy committee?
Perhaps recent news (first week of May) shines clarity on this situation as Ingram had to go in for what looks to be another knee “scope” and will be out of action up to six weeks. According to Adam Schefter’s report, this is the second-time Ingram has gone in for knee surgery in the past three off-seasons.
Who knows if Ingram’s knee history caused Coach Payton to consider him as a committee back, but if so, I find it to be a poor choice to take him in the first round.
While this is a downer, and clearly puts more of a damper on Ingram’s long term dynasty prospects, he’s still expected to be at full health for training camp. Fantasy experts and owners are likely to knock Ingram because of this news (I’m one of them), but this could be a good thing on draft day, if his stock slides out of the top thirty running backs off the board.
Yes, Ingram deserves to have a red flag put on him for knee problems, but it is considered minor, and what that tells me is if he’s running well early, the Saints could still give him enough carries for over 1,000 yards and ten touchdowns. Respectable numbers for sure, but his chances of being a top ten or elite fantasy back may never come to realization because of the knee and more so, because of the way New Orleans uses their running backs.
June 2nd - Ingram will hopefully be ready for training camp, but his odds of a breakout sophomore season are on the decline. Chronic knee problems and a RBBC offense, are likely to limit a player that looked like a no-brainier RB1 of the future. Sucks.
Summer of 2011: Fantasy Projections
The 2011 NFL running back draft class has good overall depth but Mark Ingram clearly stands out as the top talent. The Saints recognized this and traded up to acquire Ingram to be the teams leading tail back of the future. While New Orleans is known for using multiple players to run the football, if anyone has the chance to take over as a clear factor back, it is Ingram.
Jerry Jones recently noted that Ingram was high on the Cowboys’ draft board as he reminds him of Emmitt Smith. Clearly high praise and I have to admit when I’ve watched Ingram run the past two seasons, he does show signs that made me think of Smith as well. Ingram isn’t the fastest, strongest, runner in the game, nor does he posses the most elusiveness on the field.
Much like Smith, Ingram posses great vision and knows how to position himself in the open field to optimize extra yardage on a play. For dynasty leagues, Ingram is slated just ahead of Daniel Thomas of the Dolphins in my mind, because of the health issues of Thomas and Bush.
I don’t project Thomas to have the conditioning to take on a starting role with this team has he’s had to recover from his nasty ankle injury for the first half of 2011, so the stage is set for Ingram to make a fantasy impact for week one on.
Heading into the summer, Ingram’s ADP value is listed as the 30th running back on Mock Draft Central for standard league play (68.88 average position) and the 31st running back (72.36 average selection) in PPR leagues. At Fantasy Football Calculator, Ingram checks in as the 28th best running back (69.2 average position) for ten team standard redraft leagues.
Don’t be surprised if Ingram volts up to close to the top 20 running backs if he has a big game or two in the preseason or if a setback should happen to Thomas. Bush has only carried the football 106 times in the past two years combined, so if he’s retained, he won’t be a threat to Ingram in the running game.
Add it all up and Ingram is a no-brainer to select as a flex play option and could even be a late No.2 running back should he win the starting job this season. I’m usually not a huge fan of rookie running backs, but I would be surprised if Ingram wins rookie of the year, and is a possible first round pick in 2012 drafts.
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